Phoenix is Fastest-Growing U.S. City; Here's Where They Come From | https://www.phoenix.gov/newsroom/ced/851 | Community and Economic Development | | 1/23/2020 7:00:00 AM | https://www.phoenix.gov/newssite/Lists/NewsArticle/Attachments/851/NEWSROOM_CED_0023.jpg | | Phoenix is Fastest-Growing U.S. City; Here's Where They Come From | <div class="ExternalClass063B9942E2844186885073BF3F1D48B7"><html>
<p>More than one-quarter of a million new faces are calling Phoenix “home” since the 2010 Decennial Census. The city’s population of 1.7 million makes it the fastest-growing American city. Yet, finding a Phoenix native is still a challenge. More than three of four new residents move to Phoenix from elsewhere. <span style="background-color:window;color:windowtext;font-size:10pt;">In that same period, n</span><span style="background-color:window;color:windowtext;font-size:10pt;">early one million new</span><span style="background-color:window;color:windowtext;font-size:10pt;"> faces now </span><span style="background-color:window;color:windowtext;font-size:10pt;">call "Arizona" home, according to the Census bureau. Where were the prior homes before Phoenix?</span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
<em>By Eric Jay Toll for PHXNewsroom</em>
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<p>Data generated from website analytics say that Phoenix is one city where far-fewer plan to leave when compared to other major U.S. markets. With 22 percent of its renters looking to go elsewhere, only San Diego, with 21 percent of its renters, has a lower percentage of renters looking to leave. Most of those who want to leave California plan to come to Phoenix, according to the <a href="https://www.apartmentlist.com/rentonomics/2020-q1-renter-migration-report/" target="_blank">ApartmetList</a> study.<br></p>
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<p>Phoenix comes in second lowest on the places apartment dwellers want to leave. That’s according to aggregated data from ApartmentList. The analysis reports that a third of all new renters moving to Phoenix come from Los Angeles.<br></p><h3>Census says almost 70,000 Californians left state last year<br></h3>
<p>While the value of this type of data is limited to the source’s clients and the data points selected for the aggregation, it echoes 2018 data from the <a href="https://www.census.gov/topics/population/migration/guidance/metro-to-metro-migration-flows.html" target="_blank">U.S. Census Bureau</a> for metros and the 2019 state-to-state population movement. <a href="https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-kits/2019/national-state-estimates.html" target="_blank">Census data</a> say nearly 70,000 Californians moved to Arizona last year. <br></p>
<p>ApartmentList data say that more than eight times as many Angelenos, 33.2 percent, moved into Phoenix in 2019 as moved in from Riverside, California, 4.6 percent, the second city on the list of inbound renters’ place of origin. Third position Chicago generated 4 percent of Phoenix’s move-ins. The data also say that while 22 percent of current Phoenix apartment dwellers plan to relocate into other metros, among U.S. metros, only San Diego has a lower percentage.<br></p>
<p>The renter data are compiled by analyzing a website user’s current place of residence with their ApartmentList searches into other cities. The data are limited to renters. Census data are estimates generated from a sampling of people who have actually moved from one metro to another. These data include renters and home buyers.<br></p><h3>Phoenicians moving out go to L.A., Tucson and Prescott<br></h3>
<p>Los Angeles, Tucson and Prescott are the cities outbound Phoenix residents searched most often, according to ApartmentList. However, of Valley residents searching for a new place to rent, 77.6 percent looked somewhere within the Phoenix metro area. Only 22.4 percent looked to leave.<br></p>
<p>In comparison, a little more than two-thirds of Denver and Austin residents looked to stay in their metro areas; in Chicago, more than 40 percent planned to leave the city. Nearly two-thirds look to leave the Bay Area and Silicon Valley. <br></p>
<p>Those later data coincide with a study reported in the <a href="https://sf.curbed.com/2019/2/20/18233498/poll-2019-leaving-san-francisco-oakland-silicon-valley" target="_blank">Curbed San Francisco</a> reported that more than half of Bay Area residents want to leave the area. <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-california-population/half-of-california-voters-have-considered-leaving-over-housing-costs-politics-poll-idUSKBN1WC2DG" target="_blank">Reuters </a>reported that more than half of California voters would consider leaving over housing costs.<br></p><h3>A third of those looking to leave cities are looking to Phoenix<br></h3>
<p>There are other interesting patterns in the ApartmentList data. Across the U.S., 34 percent of those looking to rent elsewhere are looking in Phoenix, tying with Los Angeles for 12th in the U.S. Denver topped the list with 48 percent of those looking elsewhere including Denver in their search. For Denver, however, 31 percent of its interested renters are looking to other metros, compared to 21 percent for San Diego and 22 percent for Phoenix, the first and second metros for fewest looking to leave.<br></p>
<p>Orlando is on the bottom of that list, with 50 percent of its looking renters searching for a metro somewhere else for a new home. Orlando is followed by Riverside, California; Detroit, Chicago, and Charlotte, North Carolina.<br></p>
<p>Census data also track immigrants to metros from other nations. Over the last five years, over 10,000 Asians, including Indians, moved into the Valley. That pace actually makes Asian nations the second-largest source of new residents for Phoenix. Central American immigrants, 7,300, would position as the fourth-largest source. Almost 6,000 came from Mexico and Canada, which would fall into the fifth-largest position.<br></p>
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<h4>Top 10 Sources of New Phoenix Area Residents (2013-2018)<br></h4>
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<td style="width:259px;" class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA</p>
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<td style="width:258px;" class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>11,868<br></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Tucson, AZ</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>11,335<br></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>6,867</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>San Diego-Carlsbad, CA</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>4,967</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>4,930</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>4,847</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>4,211</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>4,111</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Flagstaff, AZ</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>3,902</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>3,823</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>
<em>Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Dec. 27, 2019.</em>
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<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p><br></p>
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<h4>Top 10 Metros to Which Valley Residents Moved (2013-2018)</h4>
<table class="ms-rteTable-default" width="100%" cellspacing="0">
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<td style="width:50%;" class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>Tucson, AZ </p>
</td>
<td style="width:50%;" class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>10,343</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>Flagstaff, AZ </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>5,833</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>5,226</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>Prescott, AZ </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>4,954</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>4,405</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>3,110</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>2,492</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>2,933</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>2,754</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>2,738</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="ms-rteTable-default">
<p>
<em>Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Dec. 27, 2019.</em>
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<p><br></p>
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<h4>Top 10 Metros to Phoenix Based on Net Migration (2013-2018)</h4>
<table class="ms-rteTable-default" width="100%" cellspacing="0">
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<td colspan="2" style="width:50%;" class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Net migration is residents moving into Phoenix metro minus Phoenix residents moving out of the metro </p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>6.642</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>4,129</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>San Diego-Carlsbad, CA </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>2,331</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>1,905</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>1,892</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>1,495</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Albuquerque, NM </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>1,346</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Salt Lake City, UT </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>1,299</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>1,278</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD </p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>1,266</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>
<em>Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Dec. 27, 2019.</em>
</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p><br></p>
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<h4>Top 10 Metros from Phoenix Based on Net Migration</h4>
<table class="ms-rteTable-default" width="100%" cellspacing="0">
<tbody>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td colspan="2" style="width:50%;" class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Net migration is residents moving to Phoenix metro minus Phoenix residents moving out of the metro. A negative number means more people moving from Phoenix to the other metro. </p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Prescott, AZ Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(2,188)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Flagstaff, AZ Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(1,931)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(1,110)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Provo-Orem, UT Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(1,011)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(657)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Austin-Round Rock, TX Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(438)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(410)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(390)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Warner Robins, GA Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(384)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableEvenRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Metro Area</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p>(364)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="ms-rteTableOddRow-default">
<td class="ms-rteTableEvenCol-default">
<p>
<em>Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Dec. 27, 2019.</em>
</p>
</td>
<td class="ms-rteTableOddCol-default">
<p><br><br></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</html></div> | https://www.phoenix.gov/econdev | News | | ced | Graphic, map showing cities from where new Phoenix residents originate | CED | | | | #PhxEconDev #PopulationGrowth #BestCities | phoenix, economic development, population, population growth, migration | Eric Jay Toll | 602-617-3797 | | | | eric.toll@phoenix.gov | https://www.phoenix.gov/newssite/Lists/MediaContact/Attachments/52/Eric_Toll.jpg | | | | | | | | PHXEconDev | |